NFL Wildcard Saturday Playoffs
12:29 PM EST Saturday, January 6 2007
Last week I was 9-7. It occurred to me as I added up my season's final record that somewhere along the line, I seriously messed up the running tally. As of last week, I said my record was 95-78-1. How could I have possibly had only one tie? So I went back through each blog entry and Wagerline and re-tallied everything. The final tally is 130-104-6 (54.17%). Using the standard Vegas bet $11 to win $10, I would have earn $156 dollars has I bet every game.
I've included a table at the end of this post that shows the week-by-week. I find it interesting as of Week 12, every week has been between 7-9 and 9-7, right around .500. So let's do the playoffs:
Kansas City +7 over INDIANAPOLIS
The main overriding factor here is that I think KC can win the game, so I'll take the 7 points. LJ has to have a good game and Peyton has to have a bad one for this to happen. I don't trust Herm at all, which is why my confidence in the pick isn't high. But at this point, betting against Peyton in the playoffs isn't necessarily a bad idea.
SEATTLE -2 over Dallas
Seattle is typically very good at home, although they were only 5-3 at home this year, and have lost their last 2 against San Fran and San Diego. This is a tough pick, and I think it could go either way, but since the spread is only 2, I'm taking the home team.
Sunday's picks to come tomorrow...
| Week | Win | Loss | Tie |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| 2 | 10 | 6 | |
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 |
| 4 | 9 | 5 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | 5 | |
| 7 | 5 | 6 | 1 |
| 8 | 12 | 2 | |
| 9 | 3 | 11 | |
| 10 | 7 | 9 | |
| 11 | 11 | 4 | 1 |
| 12 | 9 | 7 | |
| 13 | 9 | 7 | |
| 14 | 9 | 7 | |
| 15 | 7 | 9 | |
| 16 | 7 | 8 | 1 |
| 17 | 9 | 7 | |
| 130 | 104 | 6 | |
| Pct | 54.17% | ||
