NFL Week 1
8:42 AM EDT Wednesday, September 5 2007
Another NFL season is upon us, and with that, come another year of my semi-accurate NFL Picks.
INDY -6 over New Orleans
I'm going to pick against the Colts at home against an NFC opponent. Right.
Tenn +6.5 over JACKSONVILLE
This Garrad/Leftwich thing is black cloud hanging over Jacksonville. The Titans were 8-5 with Vince Young at the helm, including a win over Jacksonville in their last meeting.
CLE +4.5 over Pitt
This is one of those spreads that I look at and say, wait, Cleveland MUST be on the road. What blows my mind is that %74 of people are picking Pittsburgh. Are you kidding me? To cover 4.5 on the road?
GB +3 over Philly
What's with all the home underdogs?
JETS +6.5 over New England
Homedog
Miami +3 over WASHINGTON
I'm going to take AFC over NFC. Washington doesn't have a lot of offense, and Trent Green probably has some life left in him.
HOUSTON -3 over Kansas City
Huard vs. Schwab, not exactly Montana-Elway. I just can't give Herm the nod on the road.
Denver -3 over BUFFALO
Buffalo is going to be horrible if not worse.
STL -1 over Carolina
I'm going to invoke one of my old rules here. When in doubt in a game with no spread, go with the home team.
ATL +3 over Minnesota
For some ridiculous reason, I have this feeling that Atlanta will be good this year. By the end of the season we'll be talking about how bizarre it is that Atlanta actually got better without Vick.
SEATTLE -6.5 vs Tampa Bay
Ooh, and opportunity to use another rule, except this one I think I owe to Bill Simmons. Never pick a road underdog unless you think they can win the game outright.
OAKLAND -2 over Detroit
Last time I checked, Jon Kitna is Detroit's Quarterback. This is a road game for Detroit, right?
SAN DIEGO -6 over Chicago
I would really like to pick the Bears. I think their defense can contain Tomlinson and put the pressure on Rivers, but I just don't think the Bears have enough offense.
NY Giants +6 over DALLAS
Wade Phillips
Arizona +3 over SF
Without Denny Green out of the way, I expect the talent on the Cardinals to shine.
Baltimore +2.5 over Cincinnati
The Ravens, underrated as usual.



