Week 4 NFL Pick
8:09 PM EDT Saturday, September 29 2007
After another tough week at 5-8-3, the overall record is at 19-23-6. I did a little analysis and determined that I am 9-15 when picking favorites and 10-8 when picking underdogs, so this week, I decided if I had any doubt about the favorite, that I would just go with the underdog. I ended up picking just 4 of 14 favorites, but somehow 11 of 14 home teams.
CLEVELAND +4 over Baltimore
Our defense just isn't what it once was, which should be obvious after almost allowing comeback wins at home against the Jets and then the Cardinals.
DETROIT +2.5 over Chicago
Brian Griese?
MINNESOTA +1 over Green Bay
Could go either way
Houston -2.5 over ATLANTA
Atlanta is really bad, they are going to be giving Kansas City a run for the #1 pick.
BUFFALO +3.5 over N.Y. Jets
Buffalo should be able to keep this within a field goal at home, although the rookie Trent Edwards is a big question mark
Oakland +4 over MIAMI -4
Culpepper is going to be looking to make a statement in this one
DALLAS -13 over St. Louis
St. Louis has too many injuries
SAN FRANCISCO +1 over Seattle
Seattle, road, enough said
Tampa Bay +3 over CAROLINA
Tough to say with the NFC South
INDIANAPOLIS -10 over Denver
Peyton owns Denver
SAN DIEGO -11.5 over Kansas City
I'm not picking KC for the rest of the year, I'll just put that out there right now.
ARIZONA +6 over Pittsburgh -6
The whisenhunt factor should give Arizona a chance, plus Hines Ward is out
N.Y. GIANTS +2.5 over Philadelphia
Maybe Eli and the gang can keep it going at home. The Eagles are nothing without their distracting uniforms.
CINCINNATI +7.5 over New England
Cincy will keep this close in a shootout at home.
