NFL Week 5
9:28 AM EDT Sunday, October 7 2007
I finally had a solid week last week at 9-5, which brought the season record to an even 28-28-6. The strategy to go with the underdog if I had any doubt in the favorite seemed to work last week, so we stick with that this week.
Arizona -3.5 over ST. LOUIS
St. Louis has nothing going for them right now, and Gus Frerotte isn't the answer
Atlanta +9 over TENNESSEE
Too many points
NEW ORLEANS -3.5 over Carolina
This is good week for New Orleans to get back on track
NEW ENGLAND -16.5 over Cleveland
You just have to keep going with New England until somebody figures out a way to slow them down.
Detroit +3.5 over WASHINGTON
Detroit's passing game should keep them in it
KANSAS CITY +1 over Jacksonville
This one's tough, so I've decided to refer to one of my old rules, "When in doubt in a game with no spread, go with the home team". Since that coincides with only picking the favorite if I'm sure, this should work out.
HOUSTON -5 over Miami
Miami has shown no signs of life this year.
N.Y. Jets +3.5 over N.Y. GIANTS
I definitely have some doubt with the Giants
PITTSBURGH -6 over Seattle
Seattle did look good last week, but they certainly don't have a good enough road record to think they are going to go into Pittsburgh and get a win
Tampa Bay +9.5 over INDIANAPOLIS
Too many injuries for the Colts
Baltimore -3.5 over SAN FRANCISCO
The Ravens D should be able to hold down Trent Dilfer
DENVER +1 over San Diego
It's tough to tell if either of these teams are good right now, so I'll go with the home team.
GREEN BAY -3 over Chicago
John Madden will be gushing with Farve love all night
BUFFALO +10 over Dallas -10
Dallas has put up some big points against Chicago and St. Louis, but the reality is those teams just aren't good. I like the story line of Trent Edwards trying to steal away the starting job from J.P Losman, which if the Bills can pull of this upset, he will have effectively done.
