NFL Week 3

2007-09-21T15:55:54-04:00

So after 2 weeks, I'm 14-15-3. It's nice to see the sports guy has come to the same conclusion that I have, which is that picking NFL games against the spread is a coin flip. I think that is what this exercise of me making picks each week has become; an attempt to prove the theory that picking NFL games correctly against the spread at a rate of above 60% is nearly impossible. But the show must go on...

BALTIMORE -9 over Arizona

McNair should be back at the helm, which should mean our offense should be a little more productive, although Boller played pretty well last week. Arizona will test our corners with Boldin and Fitzgerald though.

NEW ENGLAND -16.5 over Buffalo

New England looks unstoppable, Buffalo looks atrocious.

Detroit +5.5 over PHILADELPHIA

Again, 2 teams headed in opposite directions.

Indianapolis -6 over HOUSTON

I want to pick Houston, but Andre Johnson is out, and I'm not sure Houston has come this far yet.

JETS -3 over Miami

As much as this scares me, and as much as Miami has been a nemesis to the Jets, even with Fireman Ed out with a knee, I can't pick Miami. The Jets are too good to be 0-3. As you can imagine, I'm not to sure about this pick. Why can't the Mangenius just start Kellen Clemens and make this an easy pick?

Minnesota +3 over KANSAS CITY

San Diego -5 over GREEN BAY

One of the elite teams in the AFC against one of the middle of the pack teams of the NFC. This isn't hard.

PITTSBURGH -9.5 over San Francisco

St. Louis +3.5 over TAMPA BAY

I'm leaning towards St. Louis anyway, the 3.5 makes it an easy choice.

SEATTLE -3.5 over Cincinnati

I find this quote troublesome:

"They're put in the right spots," Bengals coach Marvin Lewis said Monday, repeatedly refusing to go into detail. "They just have to get it done, do it right consistently."

Although I hate the 3.5 points. I wish it was 2.5, I could see Seattle winning on a late field goal.

OAKLAND -3 over Cleveland

It's tough to imagine Cleveland winning on the road

DENVER -3 over Jacksonville

Straight from the Hoser:

From the "We Can't Make This Stuff Up" Department - Broncos kicker Jason Elam will be releasing his first novel, Monday Night Jihad, early next year. It's about a terrorism-fighting placekicker who also doubles as a supermodel - we believe it's based on the life of Toni Fritsch.

No, seriously.

Carolina -3.5 over ATLANTA

Atlanta doesn't scare anybody until they get Leftwich in there

WASHINGTON over N.Y. Giants +3.5

The Giants are totally dysfunctional right now. It's a wonder how Coughlin has made it this far.

Dallas +3 over CHICAGO

Dallas looks like they could be the team to beat in the NFC this year.

Tennessee +4 over NEW ORLEANS

What if last year was just a fluke, and New Orleans has reverted back to the perennially inept franchise that they are? Maybe this is the way it's going to be, that one NFC team plays just well enough each year to be 13-3 but have no legitimate shot at winning a super bowl team, and then just returns to mediocrity the next season? I predict Detroit is this year's version.

PaulBarry.com - NFL Week 3

NFL Week 3