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  <title>PaulBarry.com - Week 4 NFL Pick</title>
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  <updated>2009-01-05T21:00:25-05:00</updated>
  <entry>
    <author>
      <name>Paul Barry</name>
      <email>mail@paulbarry.com</email>
    </author>
    <id>urn:uuid:de809c04-d9b5-4456-a989-28a5a6f0ceae</id>

    <published>2007-09-29T20:09:40-04:00</published>
    <updated>2007-09-29T20:09:40-04:00</updated>
    <title type="html">Week 4 NFL Pick</title>
    <link href="http://paulbarry.com/articles/2007/09/29/week-4-nfl-pick" rel="alternate" type="text/html"/>

    <category term="sports" scheme="http://paulbarry.com/articles/category/sports" label="Sports"/>
        <category term="NFL Picks" scheme="http://paulbarry.com/articles/tag/nflpicks"/>
        <summary type="html">&lt;p&gt;After another tough week at 5-8-3, the overall record is at 19-23-6.  I did a little analysis and determined that I am 9-15 when picking favorites and 10-8 when picking underdogs, so this week, I decided if I had any doubt about the favorite, that I would just go with the underdog.  I ended up picking just 4 of 14 favorites, but somehow 11 of 14 home teams.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;CLEVELAND +4 over Baltimore&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Our defense just isn&apos;t what it once was, which should be obvious after almost allowing comeback wins at home against the Jets and then the Cardinals.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;DETROIT +2.5 over Chicago&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Brian Griese?&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;MINNESOTA +1 over Green Bay&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Could go either way&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Houston -2.5 over ATLANTA&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Atlanta is really bad, they are going to be giving Kansas City a run for the #1 pick.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;BUFFALO +3.5 over N.Y. Jets&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Buffalo should be able to keep this within a field goal at home, although the rookie Trent Edwards is a big question mark &lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Oakland +4 over MIAMI -4&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Culpepper is going to be looking to make a statement in this one&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;DALLAS -13 over St. Louis&lt;/strong&gt;            &lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;St. Louis has too many injuries&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;SAN FRANCISCO +1 over Seattle&lt;/strong&gt;            &lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Seattle, road, enough said&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Tampa Bay +3 over CAROLINA&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Tough to say with the NFC South&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;INDIANAPOLIS -10 over Denver&lt;/strong&gt;             &lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Peyton owns Denver&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;SAN DIEGO -11.5 over Kansas City&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;I&apos;m not picking KC for the rest of the year, I&apos;ll just put that out there right now.        &lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;ARIZONA +6 over Pittsburgh -6&lt;/strong&gt;            &lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;The whisenhunt factor should give Arizona a chance, plus Hines Ward is out&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;N.Y. GIANTS +2.5 over Philadelphia&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Maybe Eli and the gang can keep it going at home.  The Eagles are nothing without their distracting uniforms.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;CINCINNATI +7.5 over New England&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Cincy will keep this close in a shootout at home.&lt;/p&gt;
</summary>
    <content type="html">&lt;p&gt;After another tough week at 5-8-3, the overall record is at 19-23-6.  I did a little analysis and determined that I am 9-15 when picking favorites and 10-8 when picking underdogs, so this week, I decided if I had any doubt about the favorite, that I would just go with the underdog.  I ended up picking just 4 of 14 favorites, but somehow 11 of 14 home teams.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;CLEVELAND +4 over Baltimore&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Our defense just isn&apos;t what it once was, which should be obvious after almost allowing comeback wins at home against the Jets and then the Cardinals.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;DETROIT +2.5 over Chicago&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Brian Griese?&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;MINNESOTA +1 over Green Bay&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Could go either way&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Houston -2.5 over ATLANTA&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Atlanta is really bad, they are going to be giving Kansas City a run for the #1 pick.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;BUFFALO +3.5 over N.Y. Jets&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Buffalo should be able to keep this within a field goal at home, although the rookie Trent Edwards is a big question mark &lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Oakland +4 over MIAMI -4&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Culpepper is going to be looking to make a statement in this one&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;DALLAS -13 over St. Louis&lt;/strong&gt;            &lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;St. Louis has too many injuries&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;SAN FRANCISCO +1 over Seattle&lt;/strong&gt;            &lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Seattle, road, enough said&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Tampa Bay +3 over CAROLINA&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Tough to say with the NFC South&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;INDIANAPOLIS -10 over Denver&lt;/strong&gt;             &lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Peyton owns Denver&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;SAN DIEGO -11.5 over Kansas City&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;I&apos;m not picking KC for the rest of the year, I&apos;ll just put that out there right now.        &lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;ARIZONA +6 over Pittsburgh -6&lt;/strong&gt;            &lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;The whisenhunt factor should give Arizona a chance, plus Hines Ward is out&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;N.Y. GIANTS +2.5 over Philadelphia&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Maybe Eli and the gang can keep it going at home.  The Eagles are nothing without their distracting uniforms.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&lt;strong&gt;CINCINNATI +7.5 over New England&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Cincy will keep this close in a shootout at home.&lt;/p&gt;
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